Well, the selection committee has given us their brackets. I give them a lot of credit for keeping out Michigan, Florida State and Cincinatti (though I would have chosen to keep out Seton Hall instead). They followed my rules for the most part and got Northern Iowa and Bradley right.
However they got some things very very wrong. They were very inconsistent on how they decided what teams got in. For example, they correctly took Northern Iowa over Missouri State because Northern Iowa won two out of three games including the quarterfinal matchup between the two teams. However Hofstra swept the season series from George Mason, including their conference semifinal matchup, yet George Mason is in and Hofstra is not (though I am happy to see a second CAA team in the dance, there should have been three).
Taking Utah State was a major reach considering they were only 1-2 vs the top 50 in RPI and had an RPI of 16 spots worse than Hofstra and 26 spots worse than Missouri State. Finally, taking Air Force is very very wrong. They took a team that lost in the Mountain West quarterfinals to the sub .500 #7 seeded Wyoming. Also Air Force only played only one team in top 50 RPI (and lost) and had an RPI of 20 spots lower than Hofstra (3-2 vs top 50 rpi) and 30 spots lower than Missouri State (4-8 vs Top 50).
No major prognosticator had Air Force or Utah State in their brackets. I wonder why...